Summary
A primary purpose of the NPPF, specifically stated on page 30 of the draft NPPF, is to “support the delivery of a substantial increase in the supply of new homes”, building on the clear statement from 12 September 2025 whereby the Secretary of State, The Rt Hon Steve Reed MP, committed to leaving ‘no stone unturned’ in the quest to build 1.5 million homes.
But could the lack of a definition as to what comprises realisable risk actually create a new brake on already weak levels of housing delivery, by reducing the opportunities for developers to revisit planning consents, test scheme viability against policy, and unlock stalled sites?
Similarly, do we need more clarity on the market evidence underpinning the discussion in the consultation document about reducing developer margins and benchmark land values?
On developer margins, there are now 85% fewer SMEs than a generation ago, according to the Home Builders Federation (HBF), and they deliver 10% of new homes compared to 40% historically. Does this evidence point to an excessively lucrative sector where profit margins need to be curtailed?
Turning to land values, they have historically tramlined house prices. However, since the current approach to viability was introduced in 2019, that parallel relationship has been severed. House prices have risen by c.18-20%, compared to flat land price inflation over the same period – clear evidence of more land value being captured. Therefore, the key question is whether the planning system can realistically extract any more land value.
It is estimated that between 2011 and 2018, approximately £12-25bn of land value was captured, at c.£10-20k per dwelling. This compares to c.£40-65bn captured between 2019 and 2025, at c.£30-45k per dwelling. Is this the right time for further challenges and demands on land value capture, given the ongoing falls in completions, starts and planning permissions?
One thing is clear – it is critically important that landowners, land promoters, and housebuilders make effective joined-up responses to the NPPF which are grounded in reality and support the acceleration of housing delivery which the NPPF aspires to.